Aasai

In the five-day weather forecast covering the period from Saturday, March 1, to Wednesday, March 5, 2025, Kenya Met outlines expectations for showers in at least 20 counties over the next five days. And despite the rainfall, temperatures will remain high in most parts of the country over the next five days.

The outlook for the Highlands East of the Rift Valley, including Nairobi, Nyandarua, Laikipia, Nyeri, Kirinyaga, Muranga, Kiambu, Meru, Embu, and Tharaka, will have showers in the afternoon on Saturday and Sunday. The light showers, according to the Met, are set to continue from Monday through Wednesday, especially in areas around Mount Kenya and Aberdares.

Temperatures in Nairobi and the other regions on the Highlands East of the Rift Valley are expected to reach a high of 32°C on Saturday, remaining around the 30°C mark between Sunday and Tuesday. Night temperatures are set to hit lows of 07°C. 

Nairobi

KNA

Highlands West of the Rift Valley, Lake Victoria Basin, and the broader Rift Valley region—these are the counties of Kisumu, Kisii, Uasin Gishu, Nakuru, Kakamega, and Busia, among others—will experience no rains and are predicted to remain mainly sunny with scattered clouds. Daytime temperatures reach 34°C on Sunday through Wednesday, with a minimum of 11°C expected.

Coastal counties like Mombasa, Kilifi, and Kwale are set to receive showers from Monday to Wednesday in the morning. Residents should brace for high daytime temperatures exceeding 36°C on Saturday to 34°C from Monday.

In the south-eastern lowlands of Kitui, Makueni, Machakos, Kajiado, and Taita Taveta counties, as well as inland parts of Tana River County, Kenya Met predicts showers in the morning from Monday to Wednesday.

The weekend is expected to be sunny, with temperatures reaching 35°C and lows of 14°C at night.

Seasonal Outlook

In its seasonal outlook for March-April-May, the “Long Rains” season, Kenya Met indicates near to above-average rainfall over the Lake Victoria Basin, South Rift Valley, and parts of the Highlands. 

The rains are set to begin in two weeks, with Nairobi, Kiambu, Embu, Nyandarua, Laikipia, Nyeri, Kirinyaga, Murang’a, Meru, and Tharaka Nithi receiving rainfall within the first two weeks of this month. The South-eastern lowlands, including Kitui, Machakos, Makueni, Kajiado, and Taita Taveta, will also experience rainfall within the same period.

Dr Gikungu noted that the long-rains season is expected to begin between the second and third weeks of March, though a brief dry spell may follow. Other counties set to receive rain around the same time include Siaya, Kisumu, Homa Bay, Migori, Kisii, Nyamira, and several regions in the Rift Valley and Western Kenya.

The season may feature poor to fair rainfall distribution, a normal to late onset with occasional dry spells, and potential storms in some regions. Peak rainfall is expected in April, except for the Coastal Strip, which will peak in May. 

Overall, warmer-than-average temperatures are forecasted, especially in coastal and northern areas.